ATP tennis predict — Henri Squire vs Franco Roncadelli

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Henri Squire

Germany

53.42%

Franco Roncadelli

Uruguay

46.58%

Average Odds

1.43 / 2.70

Market probability

65.38% / 34.62%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1625.0 Elo 1619.5

1625.7 Elo (surface) 1648.5

141 Wins (Challenger) 63

81 Wins (surface) 63

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.048 Dominance ratio 0.885

218 Rank 228

25.8 Age 26.5

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henri Squire

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Franco Roncadelli

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henri Squire Franco Roncadelli

1st Serve In %

64.5%

68.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

65.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

67.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

62.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.3%

38.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.5%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henri Squire Franco Roncadelli

Break Points Saved %

54.7%

70.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

56.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%

42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henri Squire 0 – 0 Franco Roncadelli

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-23

R16

Henri Squire #218

Franco Roncadelli #228

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 0

3 Double Faults 0

55 Service Points 54

40 First Serve In 38

26 First Serve Won 14

7 Second Serve Won 9

3 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Henri Squire vs Franco Roncadelli — Prediction