ATP tennis predict — Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchis

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 17:00

Predicted probability

Henri Squire

Germany

75.20%

David Jorda Sanchis

Spain

24.80%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.77

Market probability

66.11% / 33.89%

Why This Prediction?

Henri Squire is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1620 vs 1433), a higher Elo rating (1644 vs 1553) and a stronger return game (44.4% vs 35.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1643.8 Elo 1553.4

1619.9 Elo (surface) 1432.6

8 Wins 3

0 Wins (surface) 0

4 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.817 Dominance ratio 0.727

214 Rank 192

25.9 Age 32.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Henri Squire

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

David Jorda Sanchis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henri Squire David Jorda Sanchis

1st Serve In %

64.5%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.8%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.1%

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%

42.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.5%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.7%

73.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.3%

28.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.5%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Henri Squire David Jorda Sanchis

Break Points Saved %

54.7%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.9%

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%

43.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Henri Squire 0 – 0 David Jorda Sanchis

Hard US Open · 2026-08-25

qualification - 1. round

David Jorda Sanchis #192

Henri Squire #214

6-2 2-6 7-6

6 Aces 10

12 Double Faults 6

85 Service Points 100

50 First Serve In 62

38 First Serve Won 43

15 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 9

6 Break Points Faced 12

19 Winners 26

33 Unforced Errors 26

2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Henri Squire vs David Jorda Sanchis — Prediction