ATP tennis predict — Hayato Matsuoka vs Yu Hsiou Hsu

ATP Hard Asian Games · R16

Predicted probability

Hayato Matsuoka

Japan

47.28%

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Chinese Taipei

52.72%

Average Odds

- / -

Market probability

- / -

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1644 Elo 1639.3

1629.9 Elo (surface) 1629.8

1 Wins 13

1 Wins (surface) 13

1 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.911 Dominance ratio 0.911

243 Rank 295

21.7 Age 27.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hayato Matsuoka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hayato Matsuoka Yu Hsiou Hsu

1st Serve In %

—

68.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

51.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hayato Matsuoka Yu Hsiou Hsu

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

53.2%

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

61.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hayato Matsuoka and Yu Hsiou Hsu have never played each other.

Hayato Matsuoka vs Yu Hsiou Hsu — Prediction