ATP tennis predict — Hayato Matsuoka vs Guillaume Dalmasso

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Hayato Matsuoka

Japan

53.99%

Guillaume Dalmasso

France

46.01%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.12

Market probability

70.91% / 29.09%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1525.3 Elo 1535.2

1523.6 Elo (surface) 1542.2

36 Wins (Challenger) 15

35 Wins (surface) 14

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.028 Dominance ratio 1.090

343 Rank 554

21.5 Age 23.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hayato Matsuoka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Guillaume Dalmasso

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hayato Matsuoka Guillaume Dalmasso

1st Serve In %

—

1st Serve Points Won %

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

Aces per Service Game

0.23

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.1%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.2%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.6%

49.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.60

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hayato Matsuoka Guillaume Dalmasso

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.9%

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

34.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hayato Matsuoka 0 – 0 Guillaume Dalmasso

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-28

qualification - 1. round

Hayato Matsuoka #328

Guillaume Dalmasso #558

6-4 6-4

1 Aces 5

0 Double Faults 19

59 Service Points 79

41 First Serve In 43

29 First Serve Won 32

10 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Hayato Matsuoka vs Guillaume Dalmasso — Prediction