ATP tennis predict — Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travaglia

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Harry Wendelken

Great Britain

48.65%

Stefano Travaglia

Italy

51.35%

Average Odds

1.47 / 2.37

Market probability

61.72% / 38.28%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1573.3 Elo 1611.0

1678.4 Elo (surface) 1635.3

2 Wins 85

0 Wins (surface) 51

2 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.886 Dominance ratio 0.983

203 Rank 140

24.7 Age 34.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harry Wendelken

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Stefano Travaglia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harry Wendelken Stefano Travaglia

1st Serve In %

54.8%

56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.9%

55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harry Wendelken Stefano Travaglia

Break Points Saved %

68.0%

61.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

50.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harry Wendelken 0 – 0 Stefano Travaglia

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Harry Wendelken #196

Stefano Travaglia #147

6-4 3-6 6-3

2 Aces 7

5 Double Faults 5

97 Service Points 84

45 First Serve In 42

34 First Serve Won 26

25 Second Serve Won 24

11 Break Points Saved 2

14 Break Points Faced 6

17 Winners 23

37 Unforced Errors 41

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travaglia — Prediction