ATP tennis predict — Harry Wendelken vs Michael Mmoh

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Harry Wendelken

Great Britain

36.89%

Michael Mmoh

USA

63.11%

Average Odds

2.27 / 1.53

Market probability

40.26% / 59.74%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Mmoh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1659 vs 1551), more wins on hard courts (62 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1706 vs 1677).

Player Comparison

1551.1 Elo 1658.7

1676.6 Elo (surface) 1705.5

46 Wins (Challenger) 206

40 Wins (surface) 182

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.107 Dominance ratio 1.106

201 Rank 181

24.6 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harry Wendelken

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Michael Mmoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harry Wendelken Michael Mmoh

1st Serve In %

54.8%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

73.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

22.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.9%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.48

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harry Wendelken Michael Mmoh

Break Points Saved %

68.0%

69.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harry Wendelken 0 – 0 Michael Mmoh

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-04

1. round

Michael Mmoh #181

Harry Wendelken #201

6-4 6-2

2 Aces 8

4 Double Faults 6

58 Service Points 56

28 First Serve In 30

17 First Serve Won 25

12 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.3

Harry Wendelken vs Michael Mmoh — Prediction