ATP tennis predict — Harry Wendelken vs Keegan Rice

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Harry Wendelken

Great Britain

61.69%

Keegan Rice

Canada

38.31%

Average Odds

1.66 / 2.11

Market probability

55.97% / 44.03%

Why This Prediction?

Harry Wendelken is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1692 vs 1466), a higher Elo rating (1549 vs 1463) and more career match wins (45 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1549.5 Elo 1463.0

1691.9 Elo (surface) 1466.5

45 Wins (Challenger) 5

39 Wins (surface) 5

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.109 Dominance ratio 1.054

205 Rank 831

24.6 Age 20.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harry Wendelken

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Keegan Rice

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-14.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harry Wendelken Keegan Rice

1st Serve In %

54.8%

64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.9%

81.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

38.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

7.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.5%

42.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.48

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.6%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.5%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

49.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.3%

35.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.9%

50.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harry Wendelken Keegan Rice

Break Points Saved %

68.0%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

0.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.4%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

44.7%

46.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harry Wendelken 0 – 0 Keegan Rice

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-29

R16

Keegan Rice #831

Harry Wendelken #205

6-2 2-6 7-5

3 Aces 7

3 Double Faults 5

75 Service Points 86

36 First Serve In 52

21 First Serve Won 37

22 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Harry Wendelken vs Keegan Rice — Prediction