ATP tennis predict — Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · F 15:00

Predicted probability

Harold Mayot

France

64.97%

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

France

35.03%

Average Odds

1.61 / 2.20

Market probability

57.74% / 42.26%

Why This Prediction?

Harold Mayot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1780 vs 1714), a higher Elo rating (1777 vs 1707) and a stronger return game (42.0% vs 38.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1777.2 Elo 1707.4

1779.6 Elo (surface) 1714.2

139 Wins (Challenger) 63

92 Wins (surface) 43

10 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.099 Dominance ratio 0.956

288 Rank 332

24.6 Age 23.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

1st Serve In %

63.9%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%

44.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.7%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

68.2%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Break Points Saved %

64.1%

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

28.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.7%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harold Mayot 1 – 0 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-20

F

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #217

Harold Mayot #237

4-6 6-3 7-5

5 Aces 13

0 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

45 First Serve Won 51

16 Second Serve Won 24

6 Break Points Saved 7

9 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Saint Brieuc CH · 2023-03-20

R16

Harold Mayot #246

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg #469

6-3 6-2

5 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 5

45 Service Points 71

30 First Serve In 46

27 First Serve Won 27

9 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 4

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Harold Mayot vs Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg — Prediction