ATP tennis predict — Harold Mayot vs Raul Brancaccio

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Harold Mayot

France

64.48%

Raul Brancaccio

Italy

35.52%

Average Odds

2.16 / 1.64

Market probability

43.16% / 56.84%

Why This Prediction?

Harold Mayot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1636 vs 1556), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1593 vs 1550) and a stronger return game (42.6% vs 32.6% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1635.6 Elo 1556.4

1592.9 Elo (surface) 1550.4

127 Wins (Challenger) 163

40 Wins (surface) 113

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.165 Dominance ratio 1.011

211 Rank 231

24.5 Age 29.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Raul Brancaccio

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Raul Brancaccio

1st Serve In %

63.9%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.7%

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%

38.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

68.2%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Raul Brancaccio

Break Points Saved %

64.1%

58.1%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

35.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.7%

54.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harold Mayot 0 – 0 Raul Brancaccio

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Harold Mayot #211

Raul Brancaccio #231

6-4 2-6 6-1

8 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 4

67 Service Points 95

48 First Serve In 62

33 First Serve Won 38

11 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 15

6 Break Points Faced 20

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Harold Mayot vs Raul Brancaccio — Prediction