ATP tennis predict — Harold Mayot vs Niels Visker

Challenger Hard Mouilleron-Le-Captif challenger · 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Harold Mayot

France

71.85%

Niels Visker

Netherlands

28.15%

Average Odds

1.28 / 3.18

Market probability

71.30% / 28.70%

Why This Prediction?

Harold Mayot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1798 vs 1602), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1797 vs 1658) and a stronger return game (42.0% vs 34.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1797.6 Elo 1601.6

1796.8 Elo (surface) 1657.8

143 Wins (Challenger) 35

96 Wins (surface) 22

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.099 Dominance ratio 1.083

191 Rank 418

24.6 Age 25.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–7L · 58.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

33 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Niels Visker

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Niels Visker

1st Serve In %

63.9%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

74.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

50.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

18.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

74.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

52.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Niels Visker

Break Points Saved %

64.1%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

37.7%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harold Mayot and Niels Visker have never played each other.

Harold Mayot vs Niels Visker — Prediction