ATP tennis predict — Harold Mayot vs Mika Brunold

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Harold Mayot

France

57.07%

Mika Brunold

Switzerland

42.93%

Average Odds

1.71 / 2.06

Market probability

54.64% / 45.36%

Why This Prediction?

Harold Mayot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1610 vs 1537), a higher Elo rating (1645 vs 1591) and a stronger return game (30.9% vs 28.8% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1645.4 Elo 1591.5

1610.4 Elo (surface) 1537.2

128 Wins (Challenger) 59

41 Wins (surface) 32

8 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.273 Dominance ratio 1.073

211 Rank 415

24.5 Age 21.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Mika Brunold

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 16W–3L · 84.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Mika Brunold

1st Serve In %

63.9%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

63.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

23.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%

38.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.7%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

68.2%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Mika Brunold

Break Points Saved %

64.1%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.7%

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harold Mayot 1 – 0 Mika Brunold

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-23

R16

Harold Mayot #211

Mika Brunold #415

6-4 6-3

4 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 1

73 Service Points 60

48 First Serve In 42

38 First Serve Won 22

9 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Clay Zug CH · 2025-07-21

QF

Harold Mayot #171

Mika Brunold #300

6-3 6-4

3 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 1

58 Service Points 53

35 First Serve In 35

29 First Serve Won 24

13 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Harold Mayot vs Mika Brunold — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Harold Mayot — Last 10

Mika Brunold — Last 10