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Harold Mayot vs Max Basing — Prediction

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · SF 10:00

Predicted probability

Harold Mayot

France

66.11%

Max Basing

Great Britain

33.89%

Average Odds

1.39  /  2.84

Market probability

67.14%  /  32.86%

Why This Prediction?

Harold Mayot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1741 vs 1659), more wins on hard courts (88 vs 22) and a higher Elo rating (1743 vs 1687).

Player Comparison

1743.3 Elo 1686.8
1741.3 Elo (surface) 1659.3
135 Wins (Challenger) 25
88 Wins (surface) 22
8 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.099 Dominance ratio 0.984
267 Rank 259
24.6 Age 24.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Max Basing

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Max Basing

1st Serve In %

63.9%
64.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%
64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%
43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%
28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%
54.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.60
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33
0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%
65.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.7%
70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

68.2%
53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Max Basing

Break Points Saved %

64.1%
59.6%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%
45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.7%
63.2%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%
46.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harold Mayot 00 Max Basing

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-12
6-1 6-3
1 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 1
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
19 First Serve Won 22
6 Second Serve Won 9
8 Break Points Saved 0
13 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.8 Average Odds 1.4

Harold Mayot — Last 10

W L W W W W L W W W

Max Basing — Last 10

W W W W W L L W W L