ATP tennis predict — Harold Mayot vs Dylan Dietrich

Challenger Clay Zug challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Harold Mayot

France

45.97%

Dylan Dietrich

Switzerland

54.03%

Average Odds

2.41 / 1.52

Market probability

38.68% / 61.32%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1656.1 Elo 1658.9

1626.1 Elo (surface) 1721.7

129 Wins (Challenger) 13

42 Wins (surface) 6

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.273 Dominance ratio 1.124

211 Rank 556

24.5 Age 21.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dylan Dietrich

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Dylan Dietrich

1st Serve In %

63.9%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

80.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

60.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

20.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%

50.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

62.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.7%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

44.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

68.2%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Dylan Dietrich

Break Points Saved %

64.1%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.7%

61.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harold Mayot 0 – 0 Dylan Dietrich

Clay Zug challenger · 2026-07-24

QF

Dylan Dietrich #556

Harold Mayot #211

6-3 6-3

2 Aces 11

2 Double Faults 1

60 Service Points 53

39 First Serve In 28

25 First Serve Won 23

9 Second Serve Won 17

5 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Harold Mayot vs Dylan Dietrich — Prediction