ATP tennis predict — Harold Mayot vs Cezar Cretu

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Harold Mayot

France

55.94%

Cezar Cretu

Romania

44.06%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.72

Market probability

65.70% / 34.30%

Why This Prediction?

Harold Mayot is the favorite because he has more wins on hard courts (85 vs 0), a stronger serve (61.8% vs 55.9% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1653 vs 1586).

Player Comparison

1637.8 Elo 1668.2

1652.7 Elo (surface) 1586.4

132 Wins (Challenger) 61

85 Wins (surface) 0

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.137 Dominance ratio 1.157

267 Rank 230

24.6 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Harold Mayot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–7L · 56.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Cezar Cretu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Cezar Cretu

1st Serve In %

63.9%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.4%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.4%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.4%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.33

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.5%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.7%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

58.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

41.2%

35.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

68.2%

58.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Harold Mayot Cezar Cretu

Break Points Saved %

64.1%

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

35.3%

41.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.7%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.7%

53.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Harold Mayot 0 – 0 Cezar Cretu

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Harold Mayot #267

Cezar Cretu #230

6-2 6-4

1 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 0

48 Service Points 56

30 First Serve In 34

23 First Serve Won 20

9 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Harold Mayot vs Cezar Cretu — Prediction