ATP tennis predict — Hao Lu vs S D Prajwal Dev

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · qualification - 1. round 06:30

Predicted probability

Hao Lu

China

26.99%

S D Prajwal Dev

India

73.01%

Average Odds

3.51 / 1.26

Market probability

26.42% / 73.58%

Why This Prediction?

S D Prajwal Dev is the favorite because he has better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0) and more career match wins (14 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1349.1 Elo 1317.6

1327.3 Elo (surface) 1317.5

0 Wins (Challenger) 14

0 Wins (surface) 11

0 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.035 Dominance ratio 1.035

1713 Rank 614

None Age 30.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hao Lu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

S D Prajwal Dev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-05.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hao Lu S D Prajwal Dev

1st Serve In %

64.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.09

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.36

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

—

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hao Lu S D Prajwal Dev

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

—

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

—

66.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hao Lu and S D Prajwal Dev have never played each other.

Hao Lu vs S D Prajwal Dev — Prediction