ATP tennis predict — Hanyi Liu vs Yaroslav Demin

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Hanyi Liu

China

56.96%

Yaroslav Demin

Russia

43.04%

Average Odds

3.11 / 1.33

Market probability

29.95% / 70.05%

Why This Prediction?

Hanyi Liu is the favorite because he has more career match wins (8 vs 3), fewer double faults per game (0.06 vs 0.20) and more wins on hard courts (8 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1320.9 Elo 1352.4

1338.2 Elo (surface) 1276.3

8 Wins (Challenger) 3

8 Wins (surface) 1

5 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.728 Dominance ratio 0.838

912 Rank 669

25.3 Age 21.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hanyi Liu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Yaroslav Demin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hanyi Liu Yaroslav Demin

1st Serve In %

70.7%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

35.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.10

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.6%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.9%

46.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.7%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hanyi Liu Yaroslav Demin

Break Points Saved %

33.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

66.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.1%

62.9%

Break Points Converted %

39.5%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hanyi Liu 0 – 0 Yaroslav Demin

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Hanyi Liu #912

Yaroslav Demin #669

6-3 6-3

5 Aces 10

1 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

27 First Serve Won 29

7 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 7

1 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.1 Average Odds 1.3

Hanyi Liu vs Yaroslav Demin — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Hanyi Liu — Last 10

Yaroslav Demin — Last 10