ATP tennis predict — Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 12:30

Predicted probability

Hamish Stewart

Great Britain

32.32%

Daniel Rincon

Spain

67.68%

Average Odds

2.62 / 1.45

Market probability

35.63% / 64.37%

Why This Prediction?

Daniel Rincon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1705 vs 1630), a higher Elo rating (1731 vs 1648) and a stronger return game (37.2% vs 29.9% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1648.5 Elo 1730.5

1630.2 Elo (surface) 1704.6

37 Wins (Challenger) 107

30 Wins (surface) 31

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.893 Dominance ratio 1.016

371 Rank 253

27.1 Age 23.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Hamish Stewart

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Daniel Rincon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hamish Stewart Daniel Rincon

1st Serve In %

60.1%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.5%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.4%

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

48.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.1%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.0%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.4%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.3%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Hamish Stewart Daniel Rincon

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

25.6%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%

69.4%

Break Points Converted %

32.9%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Hamish Stewart 0 – 1 Daniel Rincon

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-16

1. round

Daniel Rincon #253

Hamish Stewart #371

5-7 4-2

6 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 26

11 Second Serve Won 9

10 Break Points Saved 0

11 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Hard Manacor CH · 2025-08-26

R16

Daniel Rincon #287

Hamish Stewart #442

2-6 6-3 7-5

2 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 4

81 Service Points 93

45 First Serve In 56

32 First Serve Won 37

20 Second Serve Won 19

4 Break Points Saved 6

8 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon — Prediction