ATP tennis predict — Guy Den Ouden vs Tom Gentzsch

Challenger Clay Bunschoten challenger · F

Predicted probability

Guy Den Ouden

Netherlands

47.52%

Tom Gentzsch

Germany

52.48%

Average Odds

1.55 / 2.33

Market probability

60.05% / 39.95%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1658.6 Elo 1684.0

1732.1 Elo (surface) 1733.4

67 Wins (Challenger) 52

60 Wins (surface) 30

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.992 Dominance ratio 1.139

231 Rank 212

24.3 Age 22.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Guy Den Ouden

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Tom Gentzsch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–4L · 73.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guy Den Ouden Tom Gentzsch

1st Serve In %

61.6%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

23.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.0%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guy Den Ouden Tom Gentzsch

Break Points Saved %

61.3%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

44.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

60.7%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Guy Den Ouden 0 – 0 Tom Gentzsch

Clay Bunschoten challenger · 2026-07-19

F

Guy Den Ouden #193

Tom Gentzsch #189

6-4 4-6 6-0

0 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 6

74 Service Points 82

43 First Serve In 47

30 First Serve Won 30

14 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Guy Den Ouden vs Tom Gentzsch — Prediction