ATP tennis predict — Guy Den Ouden vs Kimmer Coppejans

Challenger Clay Bunschoten challenger · SF

Predicted probability

Guy Den Ouden

Netherlands

55.74%

Kimmer Coppejans

Belgium

44.26%

Average Odds

1.91 / 1.80

Market probability

48.52% / 51.48%

Why This Prediction?

Guy Den Ouden is the favorite because he has the advantage of playing in his home country and fewer double faults per game (0.13 vs 0.14).

Player Comparison

1638.7 Elo 1673.6

1712.9 Elo (surface) 1695.3

66 Wins (Challenger) 323

59 Wins (surface) 246

9 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.895 Dominance ratio 0.865

231 Rank 199

24.3 Age 32.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Guy Den Ouden

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Kimmer Coppejans

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guy Den Ouden Kimmer Coppejans

1st Serve In %

61.6%

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

48.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

59.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%

42.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.0%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guy Den Ouden Kimmer Coppejans

Break Points Saved %

61.3%

52.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%

48.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Guy Den Ouden 0 – 1 Kimmer Coppejans

Clay Bunschoten challenger · 2026-07-18

SF

Guy Den Ouden #231

Kimmer Coppejans #199

6-2 7-6

1 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 3

54 Service Points 63

38 First Serve In 41

29 First Serve Won 29

12 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Clay Liege challenger · 2026-07-10

QF

Kimmer Coppejans #222

Guy Den Ouden #244

6-3 6-3

0 Aces 2

3 Double Faults 2

56 Service Points 57

42 First Serve In 39

30 First Serve Won 19

5 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Guy Den Ouden vs Kimmer Coppejans — Prediction