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Guy Den Ouden vs Hynek Barton — Prediction

Challenger Clay Bunschoten challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Guy Den Ouden

Netherlands

42.94%

Hynek Barton

Czech Republic

57.06%

Average Odds

1.70  /  2.06

Market probability

54.79%  /  45.21%

Why This Prediction?

Hynek Barton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1683 vs 1599), a stronger serve (72.1% vs 56.2% of service points won) and more aces per game (0.48 vs 0.10).

Player Comparison

1598.8 Elo 1683.0
1675.9 Elo (surface) 1675.9
64 Wins (Challenger) 97
57 Wins (surface) 70
7 Last 15 form 10
1 Head-to-head wins 1
0.927 Dominance ratio 1.314
231 Rank 256
24.3 Age 22.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Guy Den Ouden

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Hynek Barton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guy Den Ouden Hynek Barton

1st Serve In %

61.6%
53.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%
67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%
48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%
24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%
59.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%
65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%
67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%
51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.0%
25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%
47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.28
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guy Den Ouden Hynek Barton

Break Points Saved %

61.3%
40.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%
33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.9%
63.5%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%
52.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Guy Den Ouden 11 Hynek Barton

Clay Bunschoten challenger · 2026-07-16
4-6 6-3 6-2
3 Aces 6
4 Double Faults 0
83 Service Points 76
45 First Serve In 47
34 First Serve Won 27
24 Second Serve Won 19
2 Break Points Saved 4
3 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.7 Average Odds 2.1
Clay Prague CH · 2025-05-05
6-3 6-2
0 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 3
66 Service Points 62
42 First Serve In 37
30 First Serve Won 21
8 Second Serve Won 8
9 Break Points Saved 3
11 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Sibiu CH · 2024-09-16
7-6(3) 6-4
7 Aces 0
4 Double Faults 4
76 Service Points 81
42 First Serve In 56
31 First Serve Won 34
16 Second Serve Won 10
5 Break Points Saved 7
7 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Guy Den Ouden — Last 10

L L W W L W W W W W

Hynek Barton — Last 10

L W L L W W L L W L