ATP tennis predict — Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Guy Den Ouden

Netherlands

58.99%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Argentina

41.01%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.25

Market probability

77.98% / 22.02%

Why This Prediction?

Guy Den Ouden is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1683 vs 1584), more wins on hard courts (2 vs 0) and a better head-to-head record against Genaro Alberto Olivieri (1-0).

Player Comparison

1682.5 Elo 1584.4

1429.0 Elo (surface) 1438.4

2 Wins 8

2 Wins (surface) 0

2 Last 15 form 3

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.861 Dominance ratio 0.643

215 Rank 225

24.4 Age 28.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Guy Den Ouden

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guy Den Ouden Genaro Alberto Olivieri

1st Serve In %

61.6%

67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.8%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

36.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.3%

70.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.7%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.1%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.0%

39.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.3%

58.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guy Den Ouden Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Break Points Saved %

61.3%

51.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%

30.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Guy Den Ouden 1 – 0 Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #222

Guy Den Ouden #212

5-7 6-4 7-5

5 Aces 1

4 Double Faults 1

110 Service Points 103

62 First Serve In 72

47 First Serve Won 49

23 Second Serve Won 19

10 Break Points Saved 7

14 Break Points Faced 10

35 Winners 20

57 Unforced Errors 37

4.2 Average Odds 1.2

Clay Dobrich CH · 2024-09-09

SF

Guy Den Ouden #341

Genaro Alberto Olivieri #379

6-1 6-4

1 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 2

69 Service Points 61

50 First Serve In 43

33 First Serve Won 26

12 Second Serve Won 8

8 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri — Prediction