ATP tennis predict — Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · SF 18:30

Predicted probability

Gustavo Heide

Brazil

67.16%

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Brazil

32.84%

Average Odds

1.19 / 4.41

Market probability

78.75% / 21.25%

Why This Prediction?

Gustavo Heide is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1815 vs 1657), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1870 vs 1655) and a stronger serve (63.7% vs 55.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1815.3 Elo 1656.7

1870.5 Elo (surface) 1655.0

106 Wins (Challenger) 112

95 Wins (surface) 109

10 Last 15 form 6

2 Head-to-head wins 1

0.985 Dominance ratio 1.180

122 Rank 262

24.6 Age 23.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gustavo Heide

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–7L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gustavo Heide Pedro Boscardin Dias

1st Serve In %

56.4%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

41.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.2%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

60.1%

54.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.0%

35.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gustavo Heide Pedro Boscardin Dias

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

27.5%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.5%

45.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gustavo Heide 2 – 1 Pedro Boscardin Dias

Clay Campinas CH · 2026-04-06

SF

Gustavo Heide #262

Pedro Boscardin Dias #241

7-6(1) 6-2

2 Aces 1

7 Double Faults 6

68 Service Points 68

30 First Serve In 29

22 First Serve Won 18

23 Second Serve Won 16

6 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Sao Leopoldo CH · 2026-03-30

R32

Gustavo Heide #285

Pedro Boscardin Dias #240

6-1 6-3

5 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 1

43 Service Points 46

26 First Serve In 23

21 First Serve Won 13

13 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Coquimbo CH · 2022-05-09

R16

Pedro Boscardin Dias #452

Gustavo Heide #427

7-6(1) 6-4

5 Aces 3

4 Double Faults 1

70 Service Points 67

46 First Serve In 34

35 First Serve Won 21

17 Second Serve Won 21

6 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Gustavo Heide vs Pedro Boscardin Dias — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Gustavo Heide — Last 10

Pedro Boscardin Dias — Last 10