ATP tennis predict — Gustavo Heide vs Kilian Feldbausch

ATP Clay Kitzbühel · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Gustavo Heide

Brazil

51.25%

Kilian Feldbausch

Switzerland

48.75%

Average Odds

1.66 / 2.14

Market probability

56.32% / 43.68%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1738.9 Elo 1690.5

1767.8 Elo (surface) 1686.3

15 Wins 2

11 Wins (surface) 2

6 Last 15 form 2

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.073 Dominance ratio 0.947

136 Rank 262

24.4 Age 20.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gustavo Heide

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Kilian Feldbausch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gustavo Heide Kilian Feldbausch

1st Serve In %

56.4%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.0%

62.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.2%

58.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.9%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.7%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gustavo Heide Kilian Feldbausch

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

27.5%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.1%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

32.4%

46.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gustavo Heide 0 – 1 Kilian Feldbausch

Clay Kitzbühel · 2026-07-18

qualification - round of 16

Kilian Feldbausch #262

Gustavo Heide #136

6-4 6-2

0 Aces 3

7 Double Faults 2

81 Service Points 55

52 First Serve In 40

33 First Serve Won 30

11 Second Serve Won 10

9 Break Points Saved 3

12 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Clay Lima CH · 2023-11-06

Q1

Kilian Feldbausch #790

Gustavo Heide #248

1-6 6-2 6-4

4 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 3

98 Service Points 79

81 First Serve In 42

50 First Serve Won 26

6 Second Serve Won 18

7 Break Points Saved 4

11 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Gustavo Heide vs Kilian Feldbausch — Prediction