ATP tennis predict — Gustavo Heide vs Eduardo Ribeiro

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · R16 15:00

Predicted probability

Gustavo Heide

Brazil

82.40%

Eduardo Ribeiro

Brazil

17.60%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.26

Market probability

78.45% / 21.55%

Why This Prediction?

Gustavo Heide is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1811 vs 1571), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1861 vs 1578) and more wins on clay courts (11 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1811.2 Elo 1571.3

1861.4 Elo (surface) 1577.9

108 Wins (Challenger) 56

97 Wins (surface) 53

10 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 1

0.985 Dominance ratio 0.992

116 Rank 346

24.6 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gustavo Heide

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-06-20.

Eduardo Ribeiro

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gustavo Heide Eduardo Ribeiro

1st Serve In %

56.4%

66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.1%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

42.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.2%

33.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38

0.06

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.4%

70.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.2%

60.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

36.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

42.3%

37.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gustavo Heide Eduardo Ribeiro

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

68.4%

Break Points Converted %

27.5%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

60.3%

56.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.9%

26.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gustavo Heide 1 – 1 Eduardo Ribeiro

Clay Brasilia CH · 2026-03-02

QF

Eduardo Ribeiro #441

Gustavo Heide #301

6-4 4-6 6-4

2 Aces 4

2 Double Faults 7

86 Service Points 107

45 First Serve In 67

31 First Serve Won 45

24 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 10

5 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Bogota CH · 2023-09-25

R16

Gustavo Heide #284

Eduardo Ribeiro #337

6-4 6-4

2 Aces 3

3 Double Faults 3

62 Service Points 65

29 First Serve In 41

23 First Serve Won 26

20 Second Serve Won 14

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 5