ATP tennis predict — Guido Ivan Justo vs Tomas Barrios Vera

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · SF 17:00

Predicted probability

Guido Ivan Justo

Argentina

32.85%

Tomas Barrios Vera

Chile

67.15%

Average Odds

2.61 / 1.45

Market probability

35.71% / 64.29%

Why This Prediction?

Tomas Barrios Vera is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1772 vs 1707), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1749 vs 1724) and more wins on clay courts (208 vs 88).

Player Comparison

1706.9 Elo 1772.4

1723.9 Elo (surface) 1749.1

88 Wins (Challenger) 252

88 Wins (surface) 208

9 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 2

1.020 Dominance ratio 1.064

239 Rank 135

28.8 Age 28.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Guido Ivan Justo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tomas Barrios Vera

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guido Ivan Justo Tomas Barrios Vera

1st Serve In %

59.5%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.1%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

49.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.1%

27.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

41.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

65.7%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

57.8%

65.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.9%

32.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guido Ivan Justo Tomas Barrios Vera

Break Points Saved %

18.8%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

35.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.8%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

31.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Guido Ivan Justo 0 – 2 Tomas Barrios Vera

Clay Concepcion CH · 2026-01-27

QF

Tomas Barrios Vera #107

Guido Ivan Justo #378

6-3 4-6 6-4

1 Aces 3

8 Double Faults 3

80 Service Points 92

44 First Serve In 58

33 First Serve Won 35

18 Second Serve Won 18

2 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Florianopolis CH · 2023-04-17

R16

Tomas Barrios Vera #149

Guido Ivan Justo #849

3-6 6-3 6-3

2 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

92 Service Points 98

60 First Serve In 71

39 First Serve Won 38

15 Second Serve Won 12

6 Break Points Saved 13

10 Break Points Faced 19