ATP tennis predict — Guido Ivan Justo vs Pedro Sakamoto

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · R16 19:00

Predicted probability

Guido Ivan Justo

Argentina

60.79%

Pedro Sakamoto

Brazil

39.21%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.62

Market probability

64.85% / 35.15%

Why This Prediction?

Guido Ivan Justo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1681 vs 1539), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1698 vs 1549) and better recent form (9 wins in his last 15 matches vs 7).

Player Comparison

1680.9 Elo 1539.0

1698.2 Elo (surface) 1548.5

86 Wins (Challenger) 146

86 Wins (surface) 137

9 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 1

1.020 Dominance ratio 0.991

239 Rank 526

28.8 Age 33.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Guido Ivan Justo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Pedro Sakamoto

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guido Ivan Justo Pedro Sakamoto

1st Serve In %

59.5%

63.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.1%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

49.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.1%

29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.8%

61.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.5%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.1%

35.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%

52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.17

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guido Ivan Justo Pedro Sakamoto

Break Points Saved %

18.8%

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%

47.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Guido Ivan Justo 1 – 1 Pedro Sakamoto

Clay Porto Alegre CH · 2024-04-29

R32

Guido Ivan Justo #584

Pedro Sakamoto #305

6-2 2-6 6-3

3 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

82 Service Points 86

43 First Serve In 43

29 First Serve Won 25

21 Second Serve Won 22

10 Break Points Saved 7

12 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Lima CH · 2023-08-21

R32

Pedro Sakamoto #605

Guido Ivan Justo #673

6-4 7-6(5)

2 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 1

79 Service Points 77

53 First Serve In 60

32 First Serve Won 34

15 Second Serve Won 7

5 Break Points Saved 2

8 Break Points Faced 6