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Guido Ivan Justo vs Gonzalo Villanueva — Prediction

Challenger Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 1. round 00:10

Predicted probability

Guido Ivan Justo

Argentina

60.33%

Gonzalo Villanueva

Argentina

39.67%

Average Odds

1.65  /  2.14

Market probability

56.46%  /  43.54%

Why This Prediction?

Guido Ivan Justo is the favorite because he has fewer double faults per game (0.06 vs 0.25) and a better head-to-head record against Gonzalo Villanueva (4-0).

Player Comparison

1665.0 Elo 1671.7
1681.2 Elo (surface) 1687.3
84 Wins (Challenger) 182
84 Wins (surface) 171
9 Last 15 form 11
4 Head-to-head wins 0
1.020 Dominance ratio 1.282
233 Rank 328
28.8 Age 31.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Guido Ivan Justo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Gonzalo Villanueva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guido Ivan Justo Gonzalo Villanueva

1st Serve In %

59.5%
58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.1%
63.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.1%
31.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.51

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.9%
62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.1%
63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
57.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.0%
38.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%
57.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guido Ivan Justo Gonzalo Villanueva

Break Points Saved %

18.8%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%
45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%
57.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%
47.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Guido Ivan Justo 40 Gonzalo Villanueva

Clay Buenos Aires challenger · 2026-09-22
6-4 3-6 6-1
3 Aces 5
6 Double Faults 1
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
28 First Serve Won 39
14 Second Serve Won 10
4 Break Points Saved 4
9 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9
Clay Tigre 2 CH · 2026-02-23
1 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 3
82 Service Points 65
52 First Serve In 35
34 First Serve Won 24
14 Second Serve Won 11
6 Break Points Saved 2
9 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Porto Alegre CH · 2025-04-28
0 Aces 1
4 Double Faults 6
76 Service Points 88
49 First Serve In 53
30 First Serve Won 30
12 Second Serve Won 14
7 Break Points Saved 3
12 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Rosario CH · 2025-02-03
2 Aces 1
0 Double Faults 1
60 Service Points 69
43 First Serve In 40
32 First Serve Won 26
8 Second Serve Won 12
2 Break Points Saved 3
3 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Florianopolis CH · 2023-04-17
6-3 6-7(2) 6-2
1 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 1
99 Service Points 84
73 First Serve In 56
49 First Serve Won 35
16 Second Serve Won 13
8 Break Points Saved 1
10 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Guido Ivan Justo — Last 10

L W L L W L W L W L

Gonzalo Villanueva — Last 10

L L W L W W W W W L