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Guido Ivan Justo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri — Prediction

Challenger Clay Tampere challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Guido Ivan Justo

Argentina

42.75%

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Argentina

57.25%

Average Odds

1.59  /  2.26

Market probability

58.70%  /  41.30%

Why This Prediction?

Genaro Alberto Olivieri is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (47.4% vs 41.1% of return points won), more wins on clay courts (144 vs 82) and a better head-to-head record against Guido Ivan Justo (1-0).

Player Comparison

1607.3 Elo 1599.2
1623.1 Elo (surface) 1613.6
82 Wins (Challenger) 161
82 Wins (surface) 144
10 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 1
1.269 Dominance ratio 1.238
224 Rank 199
28.6 Age 28.0
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Guido Ivan Justo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–8L · 20.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guido Ivan Justo Genaro Alberto Olivieri

1st Serve In %

59.5%
67.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

52.1%
61.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
45.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

23.1%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.7%
36.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.11
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.9%
70.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.1%
69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%
48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.0%
39.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%
58.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.17
0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Guido Ivan Justo Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Break Points Saved %

18.8%
51.3%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%
30.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.1%
63.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.8%
48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Guido Ivan Justo 01 Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Clay Tampere challenger · 2026-07-21
1 Aces 1
0 Double Faults 1
49 Service Points 42
37 First Serve In 30
16 First Serve Won 27
3 Second Serve Won 5
1 Break Points Saved 1
6 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.3
Clay Santiago CH · 2025-03-10
6-2 6-7(3) 6-5 RET
0 Aces 0
1 Double Faults 5
97 Service Points 98
77 First Serve In 70
48 First Serve Won 41
16 Second Serve Won 15
3 Break Points Saved 4
6 Break Points Faced 9
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Guido Ivan Justo — Last 10

L W L L W L W L W L

Genaro Alberto Olivieri — Last 10

L L W W L L W L W L