ATP tennis predict — Grigoriy Lomakin vs Filip Peliwo

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 1. round 09:30

Predicted probability

Grigoriy Lomakin

Kazakhstan

25.76%

Filip Peliwo

Poland

74.24%

Average Odds

4.19 / 1.20

Market probability

22.26% / 77.74%

Why This Prediction?

Filip Peliwo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1468 vs 1279), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1443 vs 1338) and fewer double faults per game (0.09 vs 0.15).

Player Comparison

1279.3 Elo 1468.4

1338.0 Elo (surface) 1443.0

13 Wins (Challenger) 115

11 Wins (surface) 101

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.799 Dominance ratio 1.089

906 Rank 560

28.5 Age 32.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Grigoriy Lomakin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Filip Peliwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Grigoriy Lomakin Filip Peliwo

1st Serve In %

74.2%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.9%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.7%

40.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

12.3%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

33.3%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.35

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.2%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Grigoriy Lomakin Filip Peliwo

Break Points Saved %

25.0%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

48.8%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Grigoriy Lomakin 0 – 0 Filip Peliwo

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Filip Peliwo #560

Grigoriy Lomakin #906

6-1 4-6 7-6

4 Aces 7

6 Double Faults 5

102 Service Points 107

62 First Serve In 64

40 First Serve Won 47

18 Second Serve Won 20

7 Break Points Saved 7

11 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.2

Grigoriy Lomakin vs Filip Peliwo — Prediction