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Grigoriy Lomakin vs Ajeet Rai — Prediction

Challenger Hard Wuning 3 challenger · qualification - 1. round 04:20

Predicted probability

Grigoriy Lomakin

Kazakhstan

44.21%

Ajeet Rai

New Zealand

55.79%

Average Odds

3.34  /  1.28

Market probability

27.71%  /  72.29%

Why This Prediction?

Ajeet Rai is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1381 vs 1338), a stronger return game (37.3% vs 33.3% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (2 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1337.9 Elo 1381.0
1374.8 Elo (surface) 1369.4
15 Wins (Challenger) 24
13 Wins (surface) 22
8 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.832 Dominance ratio 0.918
857 Rank 1040
28.6 Age 27.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Grigoriy Lomakin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Ajeet Rai

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Grigoriy Lomakin Ajeet Rai

1st Serve In %

74.2%
54.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.9%
69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.7%
43.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

12.3%
25.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

33.3%
38.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.35
0.68

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00
0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.2%
59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.4%
71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.6%
43.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%
29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.2%
50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Grigoriy Lomakin Ajeet Rai

Break Points Saved %

25.0%
55.1%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%
32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%
59.2%

Break Points Converted %

48.8%
42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Grigoriy Lomakin and Ajeet Rai have never played each other.

Grigoriy Lomakin — Last 10

L W W L W W L L W L

Ajeet Rai — Last 10

L W L L L W L L L L