ATP tennis predict — Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt

Challenger Clay Antofagasta challenger · 1. round 15:00

Predicted probability

Gonzalo Villanueva

Argentina

52.47%

Nick Hardt

Dominican Rep.

47.53%

Average Odds

2.09 / 1.56

Market probability

42.74% / 57.26%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1667.7 Elo 1598.5

1683.4 Elo (surface) 1602.5

184 Wins (Challenger) 86

173 Wins (surface) 64

10 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.282 Dominance ratio 1.041

329 Rank 275

31.7 Age 26.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gonzalo Villanueva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Nick Hardt

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Villanueva Nick Hardt

1st Serve In %

58.7%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.7%

59.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.7%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.3%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

58.9%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.8%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.5%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.46

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Villanueva Nick Hardt

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

42.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

35.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%

42.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Villanueva 1 – 0 Nick Hardt

Clay Buenos Aires CH · 2023-04-24

R16

Gonzalo Villanueva #376

Nick Hardt #220

7-5 1-6 7-5

2 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 5

116 Service Points 82

80 First Serve In 57

50 First Serve Won 39

17 Second Serve Won 12

13 Break Points Saved 3

18 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Villanueva — Last 10

Nick Hardt — Last 10