ATP tennis predict — Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Challenger Clay Cordenons challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Gonzalo Villanueva

Argentina

57.68%

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Italy

42.32%

Average Odds

1.76 / 1.96

Market probability

52.69% / 47.31%

Why This Prediction?

Gonzalo Villanueva is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (48.8% vs 35.5% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1615 vs 1584) and more wins on clay courts (169 vs 10).

Player Comparison

1615.0 Elo 1584.0

1630.0 Elo (surface) 1595.3

179 Wins (Challenger) 10

169 Wins (surface) 10

12 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.347 Dominance ratio 0.765

352 Rank 457

31.5 Age 21.6

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gonzalo Villanueva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Villanueva Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

1st Serve In %

58.7%

56.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.7%

58.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

43.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.07

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

65.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

57.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.5%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.4%

43.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%

57.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Villanueva Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

75.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

53.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Villanueva 0 – 0 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano

Clay Cordenons challenger · 2026-07-15

R16

Gonzalo Villanueva #352

Juan Cruz Martin Manzano #457

6-2 6-0

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 6

32 Service Points 52

21 First Serve In 34

17 First Serve Won 16

9 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Cruz Martin Manzano — Prediction