← Back to Predictions

Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Prediction

Challenger Clay Curitiba challenger · 1. round 20:30

Predicted probability

Gonzalo Villanueva

Argentina

31.20%

Average Odds

3.26  /  1.29

Market probability

28.35%  /  71.65%

Why This Prediction?

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo is the favorite because he has fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.25), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1725 vs 1675) and a higher Elo rating (1693 vs 1660).

Player Comparison

1659.8 Elo 1693.1
1675.0 Elo (surface) 1725.1
182 Wins (Challenger) 92
171 Wins (surface) 83
10 Last 15 form 8
1 Head-to-head wins 1
1.282 Dominance ratio 1.068
329 Rank 159
31.7 Age 21.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gonzalo Villanueva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–7L · 22.2%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Villanueva Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

1st Serve In %

58.7%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.7%
65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%
53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%
35.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.11
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%
57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%
71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.5%
51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.4%
33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%
52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.22
0.14

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Villanueva Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
62.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.9%
54.4%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%
52.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Villanueva 1 – 1 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Hard Temuco CH · 2025-11-24
1 Aces 3
2 Double Faults 1
99 Service Points 103
61 First Serve In 59
45 First Serve Won 39
19 Second Serve Won 21
9 Break Points Saved 4
12 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Lima CH · 2023-08-21
0 Aces 0
2 Double Faults 2
107 Service Points 91
77 First Serve In 61
45 First Serve Won 35
12 Second Serve Won 12
9 Break Points Saved 5
15 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Gonzalo Villanueva — Last 10

L L W L W W W W W L

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo — Last 10

L W W L L W W L W W