ATP tennis predict — Gonzalo Villanueva vs Ilya Ivashka

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Gonzalo Villanueva

Argentina

26.63%

Ilya Ivashka

Belarus

73.37%

Average Odds

4.11 / 1.21

Market probability

22.74% / 77.26%

Why This Prediction?

Ilya Ivashka is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1662 vs 1406), more wins on hard courts (111 vs 10) and more career match wins (142 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1628.4 Elo 1640.8

1406.2 Elo (surface) 1661.9

181 Wins (Challenger) 127

10 Wins (surface) 111

11 Last 15 form 13

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.334 Dominance ratio 1.183

320 Rank 406

31.5 Age 32.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gonzalo Villanueva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Ilya Ivashka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–1L · 90.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Villanueva Ilya Ivashka

1st Serve In %

58.7%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.7%

68.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.2%

46.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.11

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.51

0.45

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.0%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.5%

55.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.4%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.7%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.22

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Villanueva Ilya Ivashka

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

62.6%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.9%

51.1%

Break Points Converted %

47.1%

34.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Villanueva 0 – 0 Ilya Ivashka

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Gonzalo Villanueva #320

Ilya Ivashka #406

6-3 6-3

3 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 10

50 Service Points 49

28 First Serve In 24

19 First Serve Won 18

14 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.1 Average Odds 1.2

Gonzalo Villanueva vs Ilya Ivashka — Prediction