ATP tennis predict — Gonzalo Bueno vs Max Schoenhaus

Challenger Clay Como challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Gonzalo Bueno

Peru

55.22%

Max Schoenhaus

Germany

44.78%

Average Odds

1.97 / 1.76

Market probability

47.18% / 52.82%

Why This Prediction?

Gonzalo Bueno is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1552), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1703 vs 1575) and more wins on clay courts (102 vs 9).

Player Comparison

1664.3 Elo 1552.3

1702.7 Elo (surface) 1574.7

106 Wins (Challenger) 12

102 Wins (surface) 9

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.651 Dominance ratio 0.973

172 Rank 318

22.4 Age 19.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gonzalo Bueno

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Max Schoenhaus

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Bueno Max Schoenhaus

1st Serve In %

61.3%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

53.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

46.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

47.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%

45.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Bueno Max Schoenhaus

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

74.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

53.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

37.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Bueno 0 – 0 Max Schoenhaus

Clay Como challenger · 2026-09-02

R16

Max Schoenhaus #318

Gonzalo Bueno #172

6-1 6-3

0 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 5

48 Service Points 58

28 First Serve In 34

15 First Serve Won 24

8 Second Serve Won 12

1 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Gonzalo Bueno vs Max Schoenhaus — Prediction