ATP tennis predict — Gonzalo Bueno vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Challenger Clay Como challenger · 1. round 15:30

Predicted probability

Gonzalo Bueno

Peru

61.50%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Brazil

38.50%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.47

Market probability

62.22% / 37.78%

Why This Prediction?

Gonzalo Bueno is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1653 vs 1569), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1692 vs 1585) and a stronger return game (36.1% vs 31.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1653.5 Elo 1568.6

1692.3 Elo (surface) 1585.3

105 Wins (Challenger) 129

101 Wins (surface) 121

8 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 5

0.671 Dominance ratio 0.938

172 Rank 282

22.4 Age 26.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gonzalo Bueno

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Bueno Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

1st Serve In %

61.3%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

22.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

48.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

29.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%

50.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.07

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Bueno Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

31.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Bueno 1 – 5 Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva

Clay Como challenger · 2026-08-31

1. round

Gonzalo Bueno #172

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #282

6-2 7-5

1 Aces 2

1 Double Faults 0

62 Service Points 71

44 First Serve In 48

32 First Serve Won 29

8 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 12

3 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Clay Lima 2 CH · 2025-11-03

SF

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #211

Gonzalo Bueno #218

6-4 6-3

0 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 0

68 Service Points 50

51 First Serve In 30

32 First Serve Won 16

12 Second Serve Won 13

4 Break Points Saved 3

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Tampere CH · 2025-07-21

R32

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #234

Gonzalo Bueno #282

6-2 6-2

2 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 4

50 Service Points 57

33 First Serve In 36

25 First Serve Won 20

8 Second Serve Won 6

1 Break Points Saved 4

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Santa Fe CH · 2025-06-09

QF

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #313

Gonzalo Bueno #325

6-3 6-3

1 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 1

50 Service Points 49

33 First Serve In 30

25 First Serve Won 18

10 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 2

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Lima CH · 2024-06-10

R32

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #323

Gonzalo Bueno #273

7-6(6) 6-4

2 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 1

79 Service Points 67

46 First Serve In 43

34 First Serve Won 21

13 Second Serve Won 15

6 Break Points Saved 0

9 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Clay Buenos Aires CH · 2024-01-08

SF

Gonzalo Bueno #415

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #313

6-4 6-4

0 Aces 0

4 Double Faults 5

71 Service Points 64

46 First Serve In 41

32 First Serve Won 26

15 Second Serve Won 10

2 Break Points Saved 3

3 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Brasilia CH · 2023-11-20

R32

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva #325

Gonzalo Bueno #414

7-6(2) 7-6(7)

1 Aces 3

6 Double Faults 2

106 Service Points 91

61 First Serve In 49

43 First Serve Won 32

22 Second Serve Won 20

9 Break Points Saved 3

12 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Gonzalo Bueno vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Bueno — Last 10

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva — Last 10