ATP tennis predict — Gonzalo Bueno vs Hynek Barton

Challenger Clay Liberec challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Gonzalo Bueno

Peru

57.94%

Hynek Barton

Czech Republic

42.06%

Average Odds

2.41 / 1.52

Market probability

38.68% / 61.32%

Why This Prediction?

Gonzalo Bueno is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (43.3% vs 34.9% of return points won), fewer double faults per game (0.12 vs 0.19) and more wins on clay courts (6 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1638.7 Elo 1684.9

1663.7 Elo (surface) 1683.7

100 Wins (Challenger) 100

98 Wins (surface) 73

9 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.091 Dominance ratio 1.029

160 Rank 268

22.3 Age 22.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gonzalo Bueno

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Hynek Barton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Bueno Hynek Barton

1st Serve In %

61.3%

53.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

67.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

24.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

59.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

51.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

25.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%

47.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Bueno Hynek Barton

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

40.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

52.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Bueno 1 – 0 Hynek Barton

Clay Liberec challenger · 2026-07-30

R16

Gonzalo Bueno #160

Hynek Barton #268

7-5 7-5

1 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 2

78 Service Points 84

40 First Serve In 59

27 First Serve Won 36

13 Second Serve Won 9

7 Break Points Saved 9

13 Break Points Faced 13

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Clay Liberec CH · 2025-07-28

R32

Gonzalo Bueno #294

Hynek Barton #297

6-7(3) 6-3 7-5

1 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 6

100 Service Points 109

71 First Serve In 68

46 First Serve Won 42

15 Second Serve Won 18

4 Break Points Saved 7

8 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Gonzalo Bueno vs Hynek Barton — Prediction