ATP tennis predict — Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris

Grand Slam Hard US Open · qualification - 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Gonzalo Bueno

Peru

43.35%

Billy Harris

Great Britain

56.65%

Average Odds

2.60 / 1.40

Market probability

35.00% / 65.00%

Why This Prediction?

Billy Harris is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1591 vs 1475), more wins on hard courts (83 vs 4) and a stronger serve (65.3% vs 48.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1673.2 Elo 1582.9

1475.0 Elo (surface) 1591.4

8 Wins 44

1 Wins (surface) 23

7 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.827 Dominance ratio 0.821

178 Rank 167

22.4 Age 31.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gonzalo Bueno

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Billy Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-04.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Bueno Billy Harris

1st Serve In %

61.3%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

62.4%

64.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.0%

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

27.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.5%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.4%

76.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.9%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.3%

24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.1%

52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.12

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gonzalo Bueno Billy Harris

Break Points Saved %

68.8%

53.9%

Break Points Converted %

48.9%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

31.6%

34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gonzalo Bueno 0 – 0 Billy Harris

Hard US Open · 2026-08-24

qualification - 1. round

Billy Harris #161

Gonzalo Bueno #172

6-1 6-3

1 Aces 1

3 Double Faults 3

50 Service Points 56

31 First Serve In 29

17 First Serve Won 20

6 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 3

5 Winners 19

20 Unforced Errors 17

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harris — Prediction