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Goncalo Marques vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Prediction

Challenger Clay Braga challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Average Odds

6.10  /  1.10

Market probability

15.28%  /  84.72%

Why This Prediction?

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1735 vs 1451), a higher Elo rating (1727 vs 1585) and more wins on clay courts (132 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1584.9 Elo 1726.7
1451.2 Elo (surface) 1735.4
3 Wins (Challenger) 135
0 Wins (surface) 132
3 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.767 Dominance ratio 1.109
652 Rank 156
20.7 Age 27.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Goncalo Marques

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Goncalo Marques Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

1st Serve In %

—
66.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
64.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
45.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
50.2%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.1%
61.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.0%
64.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%
46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%
39.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%
53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Goncalo Marques Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Break Points Saved %

—
62.2%

Break Points Converted %

—
34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.1%
61.1%

Break Points Converted %

39.0%
51.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Goncalo Marques and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo have never played each other.

Goncalo Marques — Last 6

L W W W L L

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo — Last 10

W W W W W L L L L W