ATP tennis predict — Goncalo Marques vs David Jorda Sanchis

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · R16 12:00

Predicted probability

Goncalo Marques

Portugal

48.77%

David Jorda Sanchis

Spain

51.23%

Average Odds

2.16 / 1.64

Market probability

43.16% / 56.84%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1632.6 Elo 1646.7

1672.2 Elo (surface) 1472.1

3 Wins (Challenger) 93

3 Wins (surface) 23

3 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.767 Dominance ratio 0.930

652 Rank 212

20.7 Age 32.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Goncalo Marques

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

David Jorda Sanchis

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Goncalo Marques David Jorda Sanchis

1st Serve In %

—

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

40.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

31.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

42.9%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

53.1%

59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.0%

73.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

42.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Goncalo Marques David Jorda Sanchis

Break Points Saved %

—

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

34.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.4%

45.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Goncalo Marques and David Jorda Sanchis have never played each other.

Goncalo Marques vs David Jorda Sanchis — Prediction