ATP tennis predict — Goncalo Marques vs Christian Langmo

Challenger Hard Porto challenger · qualification - round of 16 12:00

Predicted probability

Goncalo Marques

Portugal

49.95%

Christian Langmo

USA

50.05%

Average Odds

1.69 / 2.08

Market probability

55.17% / 44.83%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1517.4 Elo 1499.7

1556.1 Elo (surface) 1473.5

1 Wins (Challenger) 90

1 Wins (surface) 74

1 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.767 Dominance ratio 0.971

652 Rank 524

20.7 Age 30.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Goncalo Marques

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-31.

Christian Langmo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Goncalo Marques Christian Langmo

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

53.1%

64.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

60.0%

72.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%

22.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.28

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Goncalo Marques Christian Langmo

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

52.0%

68.1%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

24.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Goncalo Marques and Christian Langmo have never played each other.

Goncalo Marques vs Christian Langmo — Prediction