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Giuseppe La Vela vs Giovanni Oradini — Prediction

Challenger Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Giuseppe La Vela

Italy

44.06%

Giovanni Oradini

Italy

55.94%

Average Odds

2.36  /  1.52

Market probability

39.18%  /  60.82%

Why This Prediction?

Giovanni Oradini is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1530 vs 1474), more career match wins (46 vs 8) and more wins on clay courts (33 vs 8).

Player Comparison

1481.3 Elo 1511.3
1473.6 Elo (surface) 1530.0
8 Wins (Challenger) 46
8 Wins (surface) 33
7 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.810 Dominance ratio 0.956
553 Rank 683
25.9 Age 29.0
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Giuseppe La Vela

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Giovanni Oradini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giuseppe La Vela Giovanni Oradini

1st Serve In %

56.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%
66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%
67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%
52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.3%
24.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%
45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giuseppe La Vela Giovanni Oradini

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

18.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.1%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%
26.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Giuseppe La Vela 00 Giovanni Oradini

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-22
7-6 7-6
3 Aces 6
4 Double Faults 3
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
43 First Serve Won 28
17 Second Serve Won 22
6 Break Points Saved 4
8 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Giuseppe La Vela — Last 10

W L W W L W L L W L

Giovanni Oradini — Last 10

L W W L W L L W L L