ATP tennis predict — Giuseppe La Vela vs Carlo Alberto Caniato

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Giuseppe La Vela

Italy

34.12%

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Italy

65.88%

Average Odds

3.10 / 1.33

Market probability

30.02% / 69.98%

Why This Prediction?

Carlo Alberto Caniato is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (44.6% vs 34.1% of return points won), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1543 vs 1505) and a stronger serve (72.5% vs 58.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1514.6 Elo 1532.3

1504.8 Elo (surface) 1542.7

8 Wins (Challenger) 20

8 Wins (surface) 18

7 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.810 Dominance ratio 1.626

507 Rank 534

25.9 Age 20.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Giuseppe La Vela

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Carlo Alberto Caniato

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giuseppe La Vela Carlo Alberto Caniato

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.1%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

67.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.3%

40.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.0%

49.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giuseppe La Vela Carlo Alberto Caniato

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.1%

66.7%

Break Points Converted %

43.4%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Giuseppe La Vela 0 – 1 Carlo Alberto Caniato

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Carlo Alberto Caniato #534

Giuseppe La Vela #507

6-4 6-3

2 Aces 13

0 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

19 First Serve Won 24

18 Second Serve Won 13

7 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.1

Clay Cattolica challenger · 2026-06-07

qualification - 1. round

Carlo Alberto Caniato #353

Giuseppe La Vela #500

6-0 6-0

7 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 3

29 Service Points 44

16 First Serve In 29

15 First Serve Won 11

9 Second Serve Won 4

0 Break Points Saved 4

0 Break Points Faced 10

24 Winners 3

12 Unforced Errors 15

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Giuseppe La Vela vs Carlo Alberto Caniato — Prediction