ATP tennis predict — Giovanni Oradini vs Pierluigi Basile

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · qualification - round of 16 11:30

Predicted probability

Giovanni Oradini

Italy

32.50%

Pierluigi Basile

Italy

67.50%

Average Odds

2.50 / 1.47

Market probability

37.03% / 62.97%

Why This Prediction?

Pierluigi Basile is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1581 vs 1506), a higher Elo rating (1569 vs 1490) and a stronger return game (38.9% vs 35.2% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1489.7 Elo 1569.1

1505.8 Elo (surface) 1580.7

44 Wins (Challenger) 14

31 Wins (surface) 13

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.956 Dominance ratio 1.060

637 Rank 562

29.0 Age 19.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Giovanni Oradini

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Pierluigi Basile

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giovanni Oradini Pierluigi Basile

1st Serve In %

56.2%

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.7%

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

22.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

36.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.65

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.9%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.8%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.5%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.39

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giovanni Oradini Pierluigi Basile

Break Points Saved %

65.0%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

18.8%

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

26.6%

39.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Giovanni Oradini 0 – 0 Pierluigi Basile

Clay Genoa 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Giovanni Oradini #683

Pierluigi Basile #547

4-6 6-3 6-1

4 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

36 First Serve Won 38

15 Second Serve Won 18

5 Break Points Saved 8

9 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-14

qualification - round of 16

Pierluigi Basile #553

Giovanni Oradini #681

6-4 7-6

10 Aces 4

5 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

38 First Serve Won 29

8 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Giovanni Oradini vs Pierluigi Basile — Prediction