ATP tennis predict — Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Trevor Svajda

ATP Hard Cincinnati · qualification - 1. round 19:40

Predicted probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

France

68.51%

Trevor Svajda

USA

31.49%

Average Odds

1.53 / 2.41

Market probability

61.17% / 38.83%

Why This Prediction?

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1689 vs 1495), a higher Elo rating (1652 vs 1517) and a stronger serve (69.3% vs 56.9% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1651.8 Elo 1516.6

1689.1 Elo (surface) 1495.0

63 Wins 3

38 Wins (surface) 3

6 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.002 Dominance ratio 0.821

91 Rank 383

23.1 Age 20.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Trevor Svajda

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-27.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda

1st Serve In %

70.0%

57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.6%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.0%

70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

27.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

41.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.88

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Trevor Svajda

Break Points Saved %

65.2%

65.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%

32.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.5%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 0 – 0 Trevor Svajda

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-11

qualification - 1. round

Trevor Svajda #383

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard #91

6-1 1-6 6-2

8 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 1

65 Service Points 66

37 First Serve In 39

24 First Serve Won 31

13 Second Serve Won 14

3 Break Points Saved 3

7 Break Points Faced 5

19 Winners 18

34 Unforced Errors 21

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Trevor Svajda — Prediction