ATP tennis predict — Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksby

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 1. round 21:00

Predicted probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

France

41.88%

Jenson Brooksby

USA

58.12%

Average Odds

2.33 / 1.56

Market probability

40.10% / 59.90%

Why This Prediction?

Jenson Brooksby is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1788 vs 1664), a higher Elo rating (1710 vs 1633) and fewer double faults per game (0.08 vs 0.16).

Player Comparison

1633.3 Elo 1710.1

1663.9 Elo (surface) 1787.5

63 Wins 93

38 Wins (surface) 62

5 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.063 Dominance ratio 0.805

92 Rank 74

23.1 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Jenson Brooksby

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jenson Brooksby

1st Serve In %

70.0%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.6%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.0%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.88

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Jenson Brooksby

Break Points Saved %

65.2%

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.5%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 0 – 0 Jenson Brooksby

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-23

1. round

Jenson Brooksby #74

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard #92

6-3 6-2

6 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 0

56 Service Points 41

33 First Serve In 28

22 First Serve Won 21

8 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 0

5 Break Points Faced 0

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jenson Brooksby — Prediction