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Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Average Odds

2.03  /  1.78

Market probability

46.72%  /  53.28%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1663.5 Elo 1710.8
1708.0 Elo (surface) 1662.5
63 Wins 166
38 Wins (surface) 109
7 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 1
0.996 Dominance ratio 1.031
87 Rank 69
23.1 Age 30.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Botic Van De Zandschulp

1st Serve In %

70.0%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.3%
74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.8%
44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.6%
29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%
54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.74
0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%
60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

80.0%
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%
45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.8%
59.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.88
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Botic Van De Zandschulp

Break Points Saved %

65.2%
62.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.2%
48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.5%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

33.3%
45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 01 Botic Van De Zandschulp

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04
13 Aces 3
6 Double Faults 8
84 Service Points 91
55 First Serve In 57
39 First Serve Won 43
13 Second Serve Won 16
3 Break Points Saved 6
6 Break Points Faced 7
31 Winners 33
30 Unforced Errors 32
1.8 Average Odds 2.0
Hard Winston-Salem · 2025-08-17
6 Aces 7
3 Double Faults 2
62 Service Points 64
35 First Serve In 45
28 First Serve Won 32
16 Second Serve Won 7
1 Break Points Saved 3
2 Break Points Faced 6
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard — Last 10

L L L L L L W W L W

Botic Van De Zandschulp — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L W