ATP tennis predict — Giorgio Tabacco vs Ergi Kirkin

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 09:30

Predicted probability

Giorgio Tabacco

Italy

46.85%

Ergi Kirkin

Turkey

53.15%

Average Odds

2.20 / 1.60

Market probability

42.11% / 57.89%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1473.8 Elo 1513.8

1471.5 Elo (surface) 1515.9

10 Wins (Challenger) 96

10 Wins (surface) 61

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.880 Dominance ratio 0.879

654 Rank 657

23.1 Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Giorgio Tabacco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ergi Kirkin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-07-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giorgio Tabacco Ergi Kirkin

1st Serve In %

—

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

65.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

24.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

40.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.0%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.3%

68.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.7%

26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.25

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Giorgio Tabacco Ergi Kirkin

Break Points Saved %

—

60.4%

Break Points Converted %

—

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

47.6%

46.0%

Break Points Converted %

63.4%

44.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Giorgio Tabacco 0 – 0 Ergi Kirkin

Clay Plovdiv 3 challenger · 2026-08-31

qualification - round of 16

Giorgio Tabacco #654

Ergi Kirkin #657

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 1

1 Double Faults 4

76 Service Points 56

42 First Serve In 24

28 First Serve Won 14

15 Second Serve Won 14

6 Break Points Saved 1

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Giorgio Tabacco vs Ergi Kirkin — Prediction