ATP tennis predict — Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Hugo Dellien

Challenger Clay Porto 2 challenger · R16 16:05

Predicted probability

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Belgium

32.67%

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

67.33%

Average Odds

3.33 / 1.29

Market probability

27.92% / 72.08%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Dellien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1703 vs 1500), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1749 vs 1509) and more wins on clay courts (258 vs 19).

Player Comparison

1499.9 Elo 1702.5

1508.7 Elo (surface) 1749.0

21 Wins (Challenger) 259

19 Wins (surface) 258

6 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.027 Dominance ratio 0.883

244 Rank 140

21.0 Age 33.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

64.8%

66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.6%

50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

47.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.3%

60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.1%

44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.6%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.9%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.22

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gilles Arnaud Bailly Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

76.0%

53.8%

Break Points Converted %

42.6%

40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.5%

43.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gilles Arnaud Bailly 0 – 0 Hugo Dellien

Clay Porto 2 challenger · 2026-09-03

R16

Hugo Dellien #140

Gilles Arnaud Bailly #244

6-4 6-0

0 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 2

60 Service Points 50

37 First Serve In 41

18 First Serve Won 29

11 Second Serve Won 5

4 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction