ATP tennis predict — Gijs Brouwer vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · qualification - 1. round 10:00

Predicted probability

Gijs Brouwer

Netherlands

62.55%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

France

37.45%

Average Odds

1.77 / 1.93

Market probability

52.16% / 47.84%

Why This Prediction?

Gijs Brouwer is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1627 vs 1521), more wins on hard courts (15 vs 0) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1635 vs 1609).

Player Comparison

1627.3 Elo 1521.3

1634.7 Elo (surface) 1609.2

97 Wins (Challenger) 7

72 Wins (surface) 6

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.880 Dominance ratio 1.111

909 Rank 595

30.5 Age 26.2

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Gijs Brouwer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gijs Brouwer Yanis Ghazouani Durand

1st Serve In %

67.4%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

66.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.3%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.44

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

66.4%

59.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.5%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.2%

61.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.3%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

61.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.26

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Gijs Brouwer Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

—

Break Points Converted %

35.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.2%

54.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%

44.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Gijs Brouwer 0 – 0 Yanis Ghazouani Durand

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Yanis Ghazouani Durand #595

Gijs Brouwer #909

6-3 2-6 6-4

1 Aces 3

2 Double Faults 3

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

39 First Serve Won 39

9 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Gijs Brouwer vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand — Prediction